Tom's River Blog
Group: What did you learn about Tom's River? What did you think was most important? Was there enough evidence to reach the decision they made?
Solo: Do a follow up on Chongqing, China or in any other area in the world. Search up statistics about cancer clusters in this area. Present your findings and your ideas on what the statistics mean. Is there enough evidence to prove these cancer clusters?
Solo: Do a follow up on Chongqing, China or in any other area in the world. Search up statistics about cancer clusters in this area. Present your findings and your ideas on what the statistics mean. Is there enough evidence to prove these cancer clusters?
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ReplyDeleteGroup 3:
ReplyDeleteOne of the things our group discussed was that there is the chance that policy makers hide under the scientific uncertainty as an excuse to not do anything to fix the problem. The amount of time that it took for them to realize that there were cancer clusters shows how scientific uncertainty can protect policymakers. It was also important that there weren't many consequences for the water contamination, and the only result was the settlements. Some members of our group thought that there was enough evidence of cancer clusters, and others did not. Conducting studies closer to the time when the waste was being dumped would have given more evidence to prove whether or not the cancer was a direct result of contaminated water.
Group 2
ReplyDeleteOur group discussed how it is tough to determine causation. Obviously childhood cancer has a bit of a shock factor, which is probably part of why the study got funded in the first place. We talked about how hard it is for the public to engage with statistical evidence, especially on emotional issues. We thought the payout was just however because there was serious pollution either way. Hopefully as time goes on, our methods for finding causation for these cancer clusters will improve.
Scientific uncertainty highlights the the gap of knowledge between the public and scientists, especially in cases such as Tom's River that have high stakes, in which the data collected and conclusions reached has a significant impact on people's emotions. When a study finds that environmental issues, which are extremely difficult to change due to the impossibility of completely de-contaminating, are causing serious health issues such as cancer, people tend to react more strongly, even if they don't completely understand the study or the data itself. This is why it is important to understand the presence of scientific uncertainty, so that people have a better understanding of the context of statistical analysis and know how to interpret science.
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